Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.089025 0.140432 0.201787 0.277773 0.367099 0.466897 0.585098
2026-01-11 0.037076 0.097665 0.186125 0.310205 0.469247 0.658324 0.893219
2026-01-18 0.016181 0.074793 0.176959 0.333098 0.543803 0.802838 1.132469
2026-01-25 0.003754 0.051436 0.157712 0.335967 0.588773 0.909096 1.325236
2026-02-01 NaN 0.026994 0.124373 0.309887 0.589075 0.954901 1.440716
2026-02-08 NaN 0.010135 0.091867 0.276325 0.572983 0.975403 1.521511
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003649 0.075905 0.265771 0.586763 1.032866 1.647128
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001351 0.069771 0.271483 0.623902 1.121168 1.811982
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000097 0.060456 0.268385 0.646166 1.188511 1.949447
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.047119 0.252723 0.646437 1.224229 2.044918
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.050519 0.276397 0.711229 1.350731 2.260141
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.053709 0.299626 0.775476 1.476750 2.475137
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.052205 0.312217 0.824497 1.584882 2.671654
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.058560 0.345781 0.909817 1.745948 2.940143
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.061472 0.370289 0.979841 1.885262 3.179828
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.056471 0.373264 1.013245 1.972438 3.350544
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.041809 0.345636 0.992443 1.980895 3.415719
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.027151 0.309965 0.954105 1.961838 3.442429
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.020967 0.298727 0.958064 2.003636 3.550327
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.019392 0.304811 0.994040 2.092979 3.723023
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.015996 0.301512 1.011892 2.155095 3.858549
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.010658 0.284813 1.002856 2.176155 3.937455
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.012970 0.310043 1.076095 2.322172 4.188628